Testing Benjamin Graham Out of Sample
March 26, 2007 - Fundamental Valuation
…Benjamin Graham-style value investing still works but is more difficult to execute than in the past because severe undervaluation has become rarer.
March 26, 2007 - Fundamental Valuation
…Benjamin Graham-style value investing still works but is more difficult to execute than in the past because severe undervaluation has become rarer.
March 23, 2007 - Short Selling
…it appears that some short selling is manipulative, seeking to scare other traders out of their holdings during sharp but temporary engineered price drops.
March 22, 2007 - Animal Spirits
…there is an “information risk premium” such that stocks not covered by the news media yield significantly higher future returns than stocks heavily covered, even after accounting for other widely used risk factors.
March 19, 2007 - Investing Expertise, Mutual/Hedge Funds
…hedge fund managers seem to be no better at long-equity investing than mutual fund managers; they do not outperform the market.
March 16, 2007 - Buybacks-Secondaries
…share repurchase announcements persist as good indicators of stock undervaluation, most significantly amplified by poor returns over the prior six months.
March 14, 2007 - Sentiment Indicators
…the sentiment of institutional (private) investors probably has some (no) value in predicting stock market returns over a six-month horizon.
March 13, 2007 - Fundamental Valuation, Value Premium
Reader Richard Beddard, editor of Interactive Investor, flagged a series of three studies by Keith Anderson and Chris Brooks on approaches to enhancing the value premium via empirical analysis of the price-earnings ratio (P/E) calculated with lagged earnings. One study seeks to optimize value indication based on the extent and weighting of historical earnings used… Keep Reading
March 12, 2007 - Buybacks-Secondaries
…there is a cycle of cash flow between companies and investors, as the former first sell shares, then buys the shares of other companies and finally buys back their own shares.
March 12, 2007 - Individual Gurus
…Herb Greenberg successfully identify stocks that, on average, underperform the market. However, the high variability of returns for these stocks continues to make trading on “Greenberg mentions” extremely risky.
March 9, 2007 - Value Premium
…institutional herding on hope and fear drives overvaluation (undervaluation) of growth (value) stocks, leading to their future reversals of fortune.