Buying and Selling Noise?
September 7, 2006 - Size Effect, Value Premium
…small capitalization value investing works by systematically buying negative noise and selling positive noise.
September 7, 2006 - Size Effect, Value Premium
…small capitalization value investing works by systematically buying negative noise and selling positive noise.
September 6, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…equity hedge funds generate alpha by stock picking, not market timing.
September 5, 2006 - Calendar Effects, Mutual/Hedge Funds
…hedge funds in aggregate perform best around the turn of the year and during odd-numbered years. This seasonality is little different from that of the overall stock market.
August 31, 2006 - Size Effect, Value Premium
…as a corollary to mean reversion of firm profitability, asymmetries in small-big and value-growth stock migrations drive the size effect and the value premium.
August 30, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…relatively simple clones based on exchange-traded instruments perform well enough to be considered as liquid, transparent, scalable and low-cost alternatives to hedge funds for many fund styles.
August 29, 2006 - Fundamental Valuation
…operating earnings forecasts are the best simple indicator of stock market valuation.
August 25, 2006 - Short Selling, Volatility Effects
…high short interest alone does not predict abnormally low future returns. Rather, high short interest for stocks that are particularly risky to trade (high idiosyncratic volatility) predicts low future returns.
August 23, 2006 - Momentum Investing
…there are a lot of twists and turns to momentum strategy returns. Momentum players should pay attention to the subtleties.
August 22, 2006 - Political Indicators
…a pro-Democrat/anti-Republican bias in the mainstream media may affect the economic risk perception of some investors/potential investors, thereby affecting stock valuations.
August 16, 2006 - Sentiment Indicators
…media sentiment predicts small surprises in earnings and stock prices, which investors quickly incorporate into stock prices. However, transaction costs offset the surprise returns.