Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for November 2024 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for November 2024 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research

Investing Research Articles

3609 Research Articles

Return on Art

…evidence indicates that art in aggregate: (1) has delivered a competitive mean return, but with extremely high volatility, over the past 24 years; (2) is not a good hedge for stocks; and, (3) generally offers diversification benefits to a portfolio of asset classes.

Earnings Surprises and Future Stock Market Returns

…evidence indicates that positive (negative) aggregate earnings surprises portend higher (lower) future inflation/discount rates, and therefore negative (positive) future stock market returns and increases (decreases) in bond yields.

Unadmired Stocks Beat Admired Ones?

…the stocks of companies unadmired by the ostensibly well-informed may well outperform the stocks of the companies admired.

Timothy Sykes: Penny Stock Pump-and-Dump Detective?

…evidence from simple tests on available data supports a belief that Timothy Sykes can identify pump-and-dump patterns in real time with economically meaningful consistency, but scalability is multiply constrained such that his subscribers may not be able to mimic his trades reliably. Niche constraints may preclude exploitation by large traders, a large group of small traders and funds.

A Few Notes on Put Option Strategies for Smarter Trading

…investors may find Put Option Strategies for Smarter Trading useful as a source of information on how put option strategies work, but they should be skeptical that any examples it presents on strategy profitability are reliably achievable in actual trading.

Apply the Breakout Detection Model to the Euro?

Inserting daily CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) history for 12/12/05-1/13/10 into the model generates no breakout signals over the four-year sample period.

Guru Age Versus Performance?

There is some research relevant to your question based on mutual/hedge fund and fund manager data. See…

Performance of Buy-Write Strategies for Australian Stocks

…evidence indicates that buy-write strategies generally underperform their underlying stocks in Australia.

Success Factors for Futures Traders

…evidence from detailed, but somewhat aged data, indicates that a typical futures speculator makes money by taking a position opposite that of hedgers in aggregate.

Quantitative Versus Qualitative Hedge Funds

…evidence indicates that hedge funds employing quantitative analysis strategies tend to outperform those that use qualitative strategies, perhaps based on superior market timing.