Comparing the Sahm Indicator and the Yield Curve
September 9, 2021 - Economic Indicators, Technical Trading
In response to “Combining SMA10 and Sahm Indicator”, a subscriber asked for a comparison of signals generated by the Sahm Recession Indicator (Sahm) and by yield curve inversion. The former signals a recession when the 3-month simple moving average (SMA) of the U.S. unemployment rate is at least 0.5% higher than its low during the… Keep Reading