Investing Research Articles

Some experts interpret stock market return volatility as an indicator of investor sentiment, with high (low) volatility indicating ascendancy of fear (greed). Volatility of volatility (VoV) would thus indicate uncertainty in investor sentiment. Does the risk associated with this uncertainty depress stock prices and thereby predict strong stock market returns? To investigate, we consider two… Keep Reading

Does an elaborate firm valuation model outperform the blunt instrument of a simple ratio? In their July 2024 paper entitled “Intrinsic Value: A Solution to the Declining Performance of Value Strategies”, Derek Bergen, Francesco Franzoni, Daniel Obrycki and Rafael Resendes model the intrinsic value of a stock, defined as book value of equity plus the… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/16/24 through 9/20/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

How has the immediate price impact associated with a stock entering or leaving the S&P 500 evolved? In the March 2024 revision of their paper entitled “The Disappearing Index Effect”, Robin Greenwood and Marco Sammon revisit abnormal returns during the trading day after S&P 500 additions and deletions and investigate four potential drivers of findings…. Keep Reading

Do stock markets following predictable long boom and bust periods? In the August 2024 draft of their paper entitled “The Anatomy of Lost Stock Market Decades”, Todd Feldman and Brian Yang examine the regularity/frequency of bull periods (strong gains) and lost periods (no gains) of at least 10 years. They also test two metrics to… Keep Reading

A subscriber asked for corroboration of a claim that the “Best Companies To Work For” (BCTWF) substantially beat the overall stock market. To investigate, we: Compile the employee survey-based top 10 BCTWF winners for 2014 through 2023 (10 years, so 100 companies). Optimistically assume winner lists are available by the end of March each year… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/9/24 through 9/13/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

How does the performance of the global multi-class market look when evaluated at a monthly frequency? In their August 2024 paper entitled “The Risk and Reward of Investing”, Ronald Doeswijk and Laurens Swinkels assess global investing rewards and risks via an exhaustive $150 trillion portfolio of investable global assets priced at a monthly frequency, enabling… Keep Reading

Can pattern recognition software, combined with news sentiment, identify profitable short-term stock trades? In their July 2024 paper entitled “Technical Patterns and News Sentiment in Stock Markets”, Markus Leippold, Qian Wang and Min Yang test the ability of pattern recognition software (convolutional neural network) to find profitable technical reversal patterns within U.S. and Chinese stock… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 9/3/24 through 9/6/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.