The Cost of Hope?
July 17, 2008 - Big Ideas
…the average investor in U.S. equities could boost annual returns by roughly 0.67% by switching from an active strategy to a passive one.
July 17, 2008 - Big Ideas
…the average investor in U.S. equities could boost annual returns by roughly 0.67% by switching from an active strategy to a passive one.
July 14, 2008 - Economic Indicators, Fundamental Valuation
…there is solid evidence that stock returns have a predictable component, captured at least partially by interest rate variables, across international markets.
July 13, 2008 - Individual Gurus
Martin Goldberg sent a comment on our review of his stock market commentaries (“Martin Goldberg: Financial Sense?”). The following exchange presents Mr. Goldberg’s message without editing.
July 10, 2008 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…mutual fund investors can enhance odds of beating passive benchmarks by focusing on funds with expense ratios that are among the lowest within category.
July 7, 2008 - Big Ideas, Equity Options
…pricing of out-of-the-money put options for the S&P 500 index indicates that investors expect 50% stock market crashes every 50 years.
July 2, 2008 - Animal Spirits
…observations have implications for investing and trading from the perspectives of avoiding irrationality as individuals and exploiting the systematic irrationalities of others.
July 1, 2008 - Sentiment Indicators
…low (high) investor sentiment is especially indicative of future outperformance (underperformance) by the most speculative stocks.
June 27, 2008 - Momentum Investing
Industries arguably follow multi-month cycles of outperformance and underperformance. Can investors use industry/sector Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) to capture abnormal returns from industry momentum? In their June 2008 paper entitled “Can Exchange Traded Funds Be Used to Exploit Industry Momentum?”, Laurens Swinkels and Liam Tjong-A-Tjoe analyze the profitability of industry momentum strategies based on two… Keep Reading
June 26, 2008 - Fundamental Valuation
…evidence from a small sample does not support a belief that ValueEngine’s market overview statistics meaningfully predict near-term behavior of the broad stock market.
June 24, 2008 - Fundamental Valuation, Sentiment Indicators
…the media employs mostly sentimental shortcuts in assessing company performance, and the sentiments expressed are much more reflective of past trends than future performance.