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Investing Research Articles

3610 Research Articles

Richard Rhodes Rules?

We evaluate here the market commentary of Richard Rhodes, previously available via Zacks.com over the period March 2004 through October 2005. Richard Rhodes, editor of “The Rhodes Report” newsletter, is one of Zacks’ “pros.” His “proprietary models…provide specific trading recommendations not found at any other shop on or off of Wall Street.” The table below… Keep Reading

Do Informed Traders Tip Their Hands Via Option Purchases?

…evidence supports beliefs that informed traders distort the relationship between the prices for put and call options on individual stocks and that others may be able to exploit these distortions. Relatively expensive calls (puts) predict stock outperformance (underperformance).

Intraday/Daily Stock Return Patterns

…traders may be able to shave a few basis points off trading costs by timing buys (sells) based on a tendency for exact daily recurrence of recent intraday lows (highs).

Presidential Politics and Industry Returns

…evidence does not support a belief that investors can generate excess returns using an industry allocation strategy based on U.S. presidential politics. Equity return anomalies based on party holding the presidency and presidential term year are marketwide phenomena.

The Timing Performance of Expert Futures Traders

…expert futures traders exhibit some market timing ability, and those who employ trading systems out-time those who do not. Market timing is more important to futures traders than securities selection.

Do Stock Recommendations on Blogs Have Value and Move the Market?

…trading activity in stocks recommended by bloggers indicates that on average the recommendations (especially sells) have some real value and lasting market impact. Blogger credentials appear to matter.

The Volatility Risk Premium and De-biased Equity Option Returns

…speculators may be able to exploit the volatility risk premium by selling short-term deep out-of-the-money put options and all maturities of deep out-of-the-money call options on the broad stock market, especially during periods of high volatility.

Predicting Bear Markets

…investors may be able to exploit the predictive power of the inflation rate and the yield curve to “switch out” of bear markets and thereby beat a buy-and-hold approach.

The Interplay of Short Interest and Institutional Ownership

…short sellers have acted as specialized monitors who tend to know what they are doing, but high levels of and large positive changes in institutional ownership can obscure short interest informativeness.

Filtering the Luck Out of Mutual Fund Performance Data

…dramatic growth in the number of actively managed mutual funds has driven the proportion of truly skilled funds down, without commensurate reduction in average fund fees and expenses.