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Investing Research Articles

3592 Research Articles

The Interplay of Short Interest and Institutional Ownership

…short sellers have acted as specialized monitors who tend to know what they are doing, but high levels of and large positive changes in institutional ownership can obscure short interest informativeness.

Filtering the Luck Out of Mutual Fund Performance Data

…dramatic growth in the number of actively managed mutual funds has driven the proportion of truly skilled funds down, without commensurate reduction in average fund fees and expenses.

Technical Analysis Tested on Long-run DJIA Data

…this evidence does not support a belief that technical trading rules reliably generate out-of-sample outperformance after accounting for trading frictions.

Rough Test of the Concept Underlying the BMW Method

…limited tests indicate that a strategy based solely on historical price data that seeks to exploit (avoid) periods of likely above-normal (below-normal) price growth has some merit. However, evidence does not support a belief that such a strategy can reliably outperform a buy-and-hold approach over long periods.

Combining RSI and MACD in Search of Concentrated Abnormal Returns

…evidence from simple tests indicates that combining RSI and MACD signals probably does not enhance, but instead may degrade, returns from trading a broad market index.

Simple Test of MACD Crossover as an Abnormal Returns Indicator

…a broad index trading strategy based solely on MACD crossovers probably has difficulty keeping up with buy-and-hold over long periods, but MACD crossover signals might be useful within more complex strategies.

Simple Test of RSI as an Abnormal Returns Indicator

…a broad index trading strategy based solely on RSI oversold/overbought signals probably underperforms buy-and-hold over long periods, but RSI signals might be useful within more complex strategies.

Between the Hedges Net Portfolio Position

…evidence from simple tests does not support a belief that the Between the Hedges net portfolio position anticipates the short-term trend of the broad U.S. stock market.

The Wall Street Journal’s SmartMoney Fund Screen

…the Wall Street Journal’s SmartMoney Fund Screen column may have value for picking international and hybrid mutual funds. It is probably not useful for picking domestic equity, sector or fixed income funds, for which strong past performance does not persist after publication.

Local Bias and Regional Abnormal Returns: Invest in Depressed States?

…investors may be able to exploit local bias-induced undervaluation (overvaluation) of stocks headquartered in U.S. states with depressed (exuberant) economies.