Investing Research Articles

…evidence from simple tests indicates that the momentum anomaly is substantial and persistent over long periods for industries/asset classes on a gross return basis.

…evidence indicates that many (but not all) well-known stock return anomalies derive their profitability from short positions in firms with low credit ratings during deteriorating credit conditions, with shorting constraints and illiquidity limiting exploitation.

…evidence suggests that fear of disasters accounts for large fractions, perhaps most on average, of both the equity risk premium and the volatility risk premium.

…evidence from tests of an extensive set of technical trading rules as applied to emerging foreign exchange markets indicates that profitability of technical analysis, after correcting for data snooping bias, may be illusory.

…evidence from simple tests does not support a belief that The Mutual Fund Strategist timing signals beat simple free timing signals based on a 200-day simple moving average.

…investors may be able to boost momentum returns for individual stocks substantially by incorporating information from past trading volume and detailed analysis of firm fundamentals.

…tailored fundamental analysis may be able to identify growth stock mispricing and earn substantial abnormal returns.

“Does it really help to wait a half hour (or whatever) before trading?”

…The Little Book of Behavioral Investing is a broad survey of behavioral biases and countermeasures as related to financial markets, especially for value investors. The self-awareness espoused may be as important to successful investing as valuation methods.

As requested by a reader, we evaluate here Steven Jon Kaplan’s commentary at True Contrarian since May 2002 (the earliest listed before a 5/22/11 reset that discarded posts prior to 5/18/11). Steven Jon Kaplan states that “each issue will feature my intermediate-term financial outlook, my long-term financial outlook.” The table below quotes forecast highlights from the… Keep Reading