Investing Research Articles

…evidence indicates that stock return predictions based on past volatility are sensitive to the interval of measurement. Measurement over long intervals supports the conventional reward-for-risk belief, while measurement at short intervals turns this belief upside down.

…evidence suggests that an investing strategy that combines past return, earnings and revenue momentums outperforms strategies based on only one or two of these momentums.

…evidence from pricing of call options on individual stocks supports belief in a volatility risk premium that increases with stock volatility and decreases with firm market capitalization, but only investors who keep trading frictions low can exploit the variations in premium.

We evaluate here the stock market commentary of Dennis Slothower via Zacks.com and MarketWatch.com since June 2002. Dennis Slothower, who is editor of the Stealth Stocks and On the Money newsletters. According to Stealth Stocks, Mr. Slothower “is an absolute master at taking into account how world news – the true ‘market-moving events’ – will… Keep Reading

As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the Forbes.com commentary of Gary Shilling regarding the broad U.S. stock market since the beginning of 2000. Gary Shilling is founder of A. Gary Shilling & Company, Inc., which uses a “top down” approach, “emphasizing the major themes, developed from our economic, financial, and political analysis, that… Keep Reading

As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the stock market commentary since late 2000 of Bernie Schaeffer, Chairman of Schaeffer’s Investment Research and Senior Editor of “Bernie Schaeffer’s Option Advisor,” via Business Week, MarketWatch.com,  TheStreet.com and SchaeffersResearch.com. According to the latter, “Mr. Schaeffer is widely recognized as an expert on equity and index options,… Keep Reading

As suggested by two readers, we review here the U.S. stock market forecasts of Steve Saville at Safe Haven since March 2003. Steve Saville is the editor of The Speculative Investor. His forecasts “are conceived by integrating the analysis of fundamental, technical, psychological, monetary and political factors…” with “…dual focuses on the stock market (primarily… Keep Reading

We evaluate here the commentary of Dr. Marc Faber regarding the U.S. stock market via his archived articles at “AME Info – The ultimate Middle East business resource” during late 2000 through 2007 and via his blog since the end of 2008. Marc Faber is publisher of the Gloom, Boom and Doom Report, which “highlights… Keep Reading

As suggested by a reader, we evaluate here the overall U.S. stock market forecasts from the commentaries of Clif Droke, available since late May 2003. Clif Droke uses parabolic cycles as an overlay for more specific analyses to predict market behavior, all from a contrarian perspective. He frequently gauges the “Wall of Worry.” He notes… Keep Reading

We evaluate here the commentary of David Dreman at Forbes.com regarding the stock market via his archived articles since the beginning of 2001. David Dreman is chairman of Dreman Value Management. His investing philosophy is ” that the markets are not perfectly efficient and that, in particular, behavioral finance plays a considerable role in investor… Keep Reading