Fear of Disasters?
April 22, 2010 - Equity Premium, Volatility Effects
…evidence suggests that fear of disasters accounts for large fractions, perhaps most on average, of both the equity risk premium and the volatility risk premium.
April 22, 2010 - Equity Premium, Volatility Effects
…evidence suggests that fear of disasters accounts for large fractions, perhaps most on average, of both the equity risk premium and the volatility risk premium.
April 21, 2010 - Currency Trading, Technical Trading
…evidence from tests of an extensive set of technical trading rules as applied to emerging foreign exchange markets indicates that profitability of technical analysis, after correcting for data snooping bias, may be illusory.
April 20, 2010 - Individual Gurus, Technical Trading
…evidence from simple tests does not support a belief that The Mutual Fund Strategist timing signals beat simple free timing signals based on a 200-day simple moving average.
April 19, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation, Momentum Investing, Technical Trading
…investors may be able to boost momentum returns for individual stocks substantially by incorporating information from past trading volume and detailed analysis of firm fundamentals.
April 17, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation
…tailored fundamental analysis may be able to identify growth stock mispricing and earn substantial abnormal returns.
April 16, 2010 - Calendar Effects
“Does it really help to wait a half hour (or whatever) before trading?”
April 16, 2010 - Animal Spirits, Fundamental Valuation
…The Little Book of Behavioral Investing is a broad survey of behavioral biases and countermeasures as related to financial markets, especially for value investors. The self-awareness espoused may be as important to successful investing as valuation methods.
April 15, 2010 - Individual Gurus - Guru Accuracy: 32%
As requested by a reader, we evaluate here Steven Jon Kaplan’s commentary at True Contrarian since May 2002 (the earliest listed before a 5/22/11 reset that discarded posts prior to 5/18/11). Steven Jon Kaplan states that “each issue will feature my intermediate-term financial outlook, my long-term financial outlook.” The table below quotes forecast highlights from the… Keep Reading
April 14, 2010 - Equity Options
“Are you aware of research on the before and after impacts of company earnings releases on option prices?”
April 14, 2010 - Technical Trading
…evidence suggests that long-term investors may be able to boost net Sharpe ratio by using high-frequency signals to make trade-or-delay decisions at each scheduled portfolio rebalancing.