Investing Research Articles

A subscriber asked for confirmation that the strategy described at “Meb Faber’s 12-Month High Switch” (the strategy) is attractive. This strategy at each monthly close: Calculates the 12-month high for: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA), Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF Shares (VNQ), SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and Invesco… Keep Reading

Do exchange-traded funds selecting stocks based on environmental, social, and governance characteristics (ESG ETF) typically offer attractive performance? To investigate, we compare performance statistics of eight ESG ETFs, all currently available, to those of simple and liquid benchmark ETFs, as follows: iShares MSCI USA ESG Select ETF (SUSA), with SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) as… Keep Reading

Does adding an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or note (ETN) to the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) boost performance via consideration of more trending/diversifying options? To investigate, we add the following 25 ETF/ETN asset class proxies one at a time to the base set and measure effects on the Top 1, equally weighted (EW)… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 7/8/24 through 7/12/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Are all of the potentially trending/diversifying asset class proxies used in the Simple Asset Class ETF Momentum Strategy (SACEMS) necessary? Might one or more of them actually be harmful to performance? To investigate, we each month rank the nine SACEMS assets based on past return with one excluded (nine separate test series) and reform the… Keep Reading

“Stock Size and Excess Stock Portfolio Growth” finds that an equal-weighted portfolio of the (each day) 1,000 largest U.S. stocks beats its market capitalization-weighted counterpart by about 2% per year. However, the underlying research does not account for portfolio rebalancing costs and may not be representative of other stock universes. Do exchange-traded funds (ETF) that… Keep Reading

What happens if we extend the “Simple Asset Class ETF Value Strategy” (SACEVS) with a utilities risk premium, derived from the yield on Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU)? To investigate, we apply the SACEVS methodology to the following asset class exchange-traded funds (ETF), plus cash: 3-month Treasury bills (Cash) iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) iShares iBoxx… Keep Reading

“Use Short-term S&P 500 Index Indicators to Predict VIX Futures?” describes research finding a potentially exploitable relationship between S&P 500 Index short-term overbought/oversold conditions and short-term VIX futures gross returns. Do findings transfer to short-term VIX futures exchange-traded funds (ETF)? To investigate, we look at predictive relationships between daily SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)… Keep Reading

Does the S&P 500 Index (SPX) or the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) yield better short-term trading signals for stocks and VIX futures? In the May 2024 revision of his paper entitled “Chicken and Egg: Should you use the VIX to time the SPX? Or use the SPX to time the VIX?”, Robert Hanna explores mutual… Keep Reading

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 7/1/24 through 7/5/24. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.