The Entropic Markets Hypothesis
March 7, 2006 - Big Ideas
…this synthesis of the theories of physical entropy, information processing and evolution offers an interesting perspective on investor psychology and financial market behavior.
March 7, 2006 - Big Ideas
…this synthesis of the theories of physical entropy, information processing and evolution offers an interesting perspective on investor psychology and financial market behavior.
March 6, 2006 - Investing Expertise
…aggregate distribution of analyst recommendations is a coincident or lagging stock market indicator, and those firms that appear to be most realistic (honest) with their distribution of recommendations provide the best advice.
March 3, 2006 - Animal Spirits
…stock market information warfare may be a winning strategy.
February 28, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Mutual/Hedge Funds
Is this how a savvy hedge fund manager plays the game? First, get cozy with other fund managers, financial market research firms and the financial media. Then “orchestrate” the attention paid to a company in which the manager’s fund has taken a position? Here’s a picture, with some links to relevant allegations and news/commentary…
February 22, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…reputational concerns of institutional fund managers may create mispricing opportunities for other investors.
February 16, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Individual Investing
…ormal research on the emotions of investing suggests that mood affects investor behavior, but it does not offer much in the way of practical trading edges. Keeping one’s own emotions in check does seem key to outperforming as a trader.
February 15, 2006 - Momentum Investing, Volatility Effects
…traders can outperform by entering positions when volatility spikes and then taking profits quickly.
February 13, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Individual Investing
…rapid meme detection via Internet-enabled technologies may offer an edge for tuned-in traders.
February 9, 2006 - Fundamental Valuation
…investors/traders may pivot on earnings, but appear to react to the inflation rate rather than interest rates.
February 6, 2006 - Economic Indicators
…equity investors should be contrarian when considering economic forecasts. Bad is good.