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3597 Research Articles

Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 12/20/21 – 12/23/21

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 12/20/21 through 12/23/21. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Combining Defensive-in-May and Sector Reversion

Inspired by “The iM Seasonal ETF Switching Strategy”, a subscriber requested testing of a strategy combining seasonal effects (cyclical sectors during November through April and defensive sectors during May through October) and sector reversion. Cyclical and defensive choices are: Cyclical: Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK)… Keep Reading

Defensive-in-May Sector Rotation

A subscriber asked about a strategy that holds a portfolio of cyclical sectors and small capitalization stocks during November through April and a portfolio of defensive sectors during May through October, as follows: Cyclical: Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Consumer Discretionary Select SPDR (XLY) Vanguard Small Capitalization Index Fund (NAESX)… Keep Reading

ESG Realities

How meaningful is the term Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance (ESG) as a descriptor of firm valuation and investment performance? In his November 2021 paper entitled “ESG: Hyperboles and Reality”, George Serafeim assesses beliefs about ESG, including those involving firm valuation and ESG firm/fund investment performance. Drawing on more than a decade of research, he… Keep Reading

Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 12/13/21 – 12/17/21

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 12/13/21 through 12/17/21. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Interest Rate Changes Exploitable for Sector Rotation?

A subscriber asked about a strategy that rotates among equity sectors according to changes in interests rate as set by Federal Reserve Bank monetary policy. To investigate, we consider the following nine sector Standard & Poor’s Depository Receipts (SPDR) exchange-traded funds (ETF): Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Financial Select Sector… Keep Reading

Leading Economic Index Exploitable for Sector Rotation?

A subscriber asked about a strategy that rotates among equity sectors according to the Leading Economic Index (LEI), published monthly by the Conference Board (see “Leading Economic Index and the Stock Market”). To assess LEI usefulness for sector rotation, we consider the following nine sector Standard & Poor’s Depository Receipts (SPDR) exchange-traded funds (ETF): Materials… Keep Reading

Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 12/6/21 – 12/10/21

Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 12/6/21 through 12/10/21. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.

Stock Factor Anomalies in Pre-1926 U.S. Data

Do widely accepted equity factor premiums exist in data older than generally employed in academic studies? In their November 2021 paper entitled “The Cross-Section of Stock Returns before 1926 (And Beyond)”, Guido Baltussen, Bart van Vliet and Pim van Vliet look for some of the most widely accepted factor premiums in a newly assembled sample… Keep Reading

Style Performance by Calendar Month

Trading Calendar presents full-year and monthly cumulative performance profiles for the overall stock market (S&P 500 Index) based on its average daily behavior. How much do the corresponding monthly behaviors of the various size and value/growth styles deviate from an overall equity market profile? To investigate, we consider the the following six exchange-traded funds (ETF)… Keep Reading