Objective research to aid investing decisions

Value Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for November 2024 (Final)
Cash TLT LQD SPY

Momentum Investing Strategy (Strategy Overview)

Allocations for November 2024 (Final)
1st ETF 2nd ETF 3rd ETF
Filter Research

Investing Research Articles

3610 Research Articles

Individuals => Institutions: One-Way Flow?

…individual investors are systematic stock trading losers; institutions, systematic winners. Individual investors may well be relatively overconfident (despite lack of investing education) and thrill-seeking compared to institutional investors.

The Ghosts of Stocks Past

…individual investors should exercise special care when considering the repurchase of stocks previously owned or the purchase of more of stocks already owned to ensure that their intellects are in charge of their feelings.

Testing the Halloween Effect

…the average investor in the U.S. equities will have difficulty avoiding relatively poor returns during the summer. They should focus on the winter months.

International Fed Model Test

…while changes in bond yields have short-term effects on stock prices, valuation ratios better forecast long-term stock market behavior.

What Drives Buybacks and Insider Trading?

…the quality (more than the quantity) of emerging earnings moves corporate officers to adjust repurchasing and personal trading of company stock.

Are Individuals Big Picture or Little Picture Traders?

…individual investors can look at their own trading patterns for clustering to assess whether they act like big picture or little picture traders.

Earnings Guidance Lags the Market?

…while there is a weak negative correlation between aggregate downward earnings guidance and monthly stock market returns, the stock market probably leads the guidance.

What Happens to Stocks Going on the Regulation SHO Threshold List?

…excess returns of the higher-priced stocks entering the Regulation SHO threshold list merit some consideration.

Could Failures Point to Success?

…picking through the stocks leaving the Regulation SHO threshold lists may be worthwhile.

Short Sellers: Contrarian or Momentum Traders?

…very recent data suggests that short sellers on average are contrarians who predict (or trigger?) near-term stock price underperformance. However, the underperformance is economically insignificant due to transaction and carrying costs.