The Equity Risk Premium Through 2008
August 3, 2010 - Equity Premium
…evidence from the most credible models of the historical U.S. equity risk premium converge to an annual value in the range 4% to 4.5% during 1872-1950 and 1951-2008.
August 3, 2010 - Equity Premium
…evidence from the most credible models of the historical U.S. equity risk premium converge to an annual value in the range 4% to 4.5% during 1872-1950 and 1951-2008.
August 2, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation
…evidence indicates that portfolios constructed from ranking stocks based on complex valuation metrics may materially outperform those constructed from simple valuation metrics.
July 30, 2010 - Individual Gurus
Navellier & Associates, Inc. offers one Navellier-branded mutual fund, Navellier Fundamental A (NFMAX), “designed to achieve the highest possible returns while minimizing risk.” Selection criteria for fund holdings, re-measured quarterly, “include earnings growth, profit margins, reasonable price/earnings ratios based on expected future earnings, and various other fundamental criteria.” Using NFMAX weekly adjusted closing prices from… Keep Reading
July 30, 2010 - Volatility Effects
…evidence suggests that investors may be able to gain an edge by considering the recent historical relationship between average stock price variance and future short-term market return.
July 28, 2010 - Investing Expertise
…for the sake of realism, investment strategy developers should rigorously examine the defensibility of any assumptions embedded in their inference processes.
July 27, 2010 - Fundamental Valuation
…evidence indicates that investors may be able to earn abnormal returns by exploiting systematic outperformance (underperformance) of stocks with very low (high) historical accrual volatilities.
July 26, 2010 - Animal Spirits, Individual Investing
…experimental evidence indicates that participation in stock message boards/forums increases a typical investor’s propensity to trade and decreases actual investment performance. Investors may want to factor this effect into their information search and processing practices.
July 22, 2010 - Technical Trading
…evidence indicates that success of high-frequency trading of paired stocks likely depends critically on minimizing trading friction, balancing trading friction and trigger sensitivity and reacting quickly to triggers, and perhaps on being especially alert during the first hour of trading.
July 21, 2010 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…evidence indicates that hedge funds with low net market exposure may earn returns largely by assuming that correlations between assets and asset classes will behave predictably, and rogue correlation spikes may swamp these funds with extremely large drawdowns.
July 20, 2010 - Mutual/Hedge Funds, Sentiment Indicators
…evidence indicates that hedge fund investors may be able to gain an edge by limiting consideration to funds with recent corporate releases but no other recent media coverage.