A Republican Risk Premium?
August 22, 2006 - Political Indicators
…a pro-Democrat/anti-Republican bias in the mainstream media may affect the economic risk perception of some investors/potential investors, thereby affecting stock valuations.
August 22, 2006 - Political Indicators
…a pro-Democrat/anti-Republican bias in the mainstream media may affect the economic risk perception of some investors/potential investors, thereby affecting stock valuations.
August 16, 2006 - Sentiment Indicators
…media sentiment predicts small surprises in earnings and stock prices, which investors quickly incorporate into stock prices. However, transaction costs offset the surprise returns.
August 15, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Individual Gurus
Can traders exploit irrational reactions to Jim Cramer’s stock recommendations by viewers of CNBC’s Mad Money? In their March 2006 paper entitled “Is the Market Mad? Evidence from Mad Money“, Joseph Engelberg, Caroline Sasseville and Jared Williams measure the market’s reaction to Mr. Cramer’s buy recommendations. Using a sample of 246 initial recommendations made by… Keep Reading
August 14, 2006 - Fundamental Valuation
…the value of a company’s equity depends on its future cash flows (derived from the company’s growth rate and return on investment) and on the required return on equity.
August 11, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…mutual fund investors should favor funds having ownership stakes, which directly align managerial incentives with investor goals.
August 8, 2006 - Political Indicators
…economic activity generally transcends politics in politically free societies.
August 7, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…investors should generally ignore advertising in choosing mutual funds; they should consciously control their fund search methodologies to achieve rational decisions.
August 4, 2006 - Individual Gurus - Guru Accuracy: 50%
We evaluate here the market commentary of Ben Zacks over the period June 2002 through January 2005. Ben Zacks is a co-founder of Zacks Investment Research and Senior Strategist and Portfolio Manager at Zacks Wealth Management Group. Since January 2005, Zacks.com has discontinued making his regular commentary publicly available (and removed his past commentary). The table… Keep Reading
July 31, 2006 - Sentiment Indicators
…stock message boards accelerate information dissemination and maybe analysis, but they do not reliably reveal new information (lots of opinions and little or no private information). Message board sentiment does not predict stock returns.
July 27, 2006 - Fundamental Valuation
…the claimed past performance of the New America Index is probably overstated with respect to realistic expectations for actual trading of the stocks in it.