Stock and Bond Returns Correlation Variability
March 20, 2009 - Bonds, Economic Indicators
…investors should not view the mutual diversification power of stocks and bonds as constant for planning horizons of less than a complete business cycle.
March 20, 2009 - Bonds, Economic Indicators
…investors should not view the mutual diversification power of stocks and bonds as constant for planning horizons of less than a complete business cycle.
March 19, 2009 - Technical Trading
…limited evidence from out-of-sample tests of TradingMarkets.com 2-day RSI trading rules for ETFs are mixed regarding a belief that they are reliably profitable. The reported in-sample results may have substantial data snooping bias.
March 18, 2009 - Investing Expertise, Mutual/Hedge Funds
…the Morningstar mutual fund rating system can probably help investors avoid funds with the worst future performance.
March 17, 2009 - Fundamental Valuation
…the combined actions of information traders and trend followers typically eliminate 15-30% of the difference between market valuation and fundamental valuation in a year.
March 13, 2009 - Investing Expertise
…limited evidence continues to suggest that, in aggregate, stock market gurus tend to anchor on bullish or bearish positions, regardless of actual market trends.
March 12, 2009 - Individual Gurus
…the Fast Money experts as a group probably do not offer fast money with their stock picks, and their stock-picking ability as a group is unimpressive.
March 11, 2009 - Individual Investing, Investing Expertise
How do financial advisors affect the investing practices of individual investors? Does their advice decisively improve client performance, or are other factors more explanatory? In their February 2009 paper entitled “The Influence of Financial Advisors on Household Portfolios: A Study on Private Investors Switching to Financial Advice”, Ralf Gerhardt and Andreas Hackethal compare the portfolios… Keep Reading
March 9, 2009 - Individual Investing, Mutual/Hedge Funds
Do hedge fund investors actually receive the returns reported for hedge funds, or does the timing of investments in these funds substantially affect experienced returns? In the March 2009 version of their paper entitled “Higher Risk, Lower Returns: What Hedge Fund Investors Really Earn”, Ilia Dichev and Gwen Yu measure actual hedge fund investor returns… Keep Reading
March 6, 2009 - Commodity Futures
…traders may be able to exploit information on hedger and speculator net positions in the Commitment of Traders report to time positions in associated commodity futures.
March 3, 2009 - Economic Indicators
…investors may be able to boost net returns by timing investments according to an index of leading economic indicators. However, success may depend critically on continually adapting the index to current economic conditions.