Measuring Investor/Trader Risk Aversion
September 25, 2006 - Equity Options, Volatility Effects
…when investors/traders are depressed, as measured by the gap between implied volatility and historical volatility, so are stock prices.
September 25, 2006 - Equity Options, Volatility Effects
…when investors/traders are depressed, as measured by the gap between implied volatility and historical volatility, so are stock prices.
September 22, 2006 - Individual Investing, Mutual/Hedge Funds
Do mutual fund investors move their money into and out of the stock market at the right times, or the wrong times? In their August 2006 paper entitled “Mutual Fund Flows and Investor Returns: An Empirical Examination of Fund Investor Timing Ability”, Geoffrey Friesen and Travis Sapp examine the flows of funds to/from individual mutual… Keep Reading
September 21, 2006 - Technical Trading
…the incorporation of folk medicine by pharmacology offers a model for bringing technical analysis into the financial economics fold.
September 20, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Mutual/Hedge Funds
…investing based on the principles of behavioral finance is indistinguishable from value investing, producing similar raw excess returns.
September 19, 2006 - Economic Indicators
…stock market booms arise from the confluence of strong economic growth and low inflation. Excessive (?) monetary policy reaction to rising inflation kills the booms.
September 18, 2006 - Technical Trading
…technical trading is more likely to be successful when applied to small-capitalization and illiquid stocks.
September 14, 2006 - Animal Spirits, Fundamental Valuation
…past research indicates that there may be a good short-term price trade (but watch out for frontrunning) and a good longer-term volatility play for forced resignation of a CEO with replacement by an outsider.
September 12, 2006 - Animal Spirits
…investors/traders who take the advice of spam stock touts are likely to lose big and fast.
September 7, 2006 - Size Effect, Value Premium
…small capitalization value investing works by systematically buying negative noise and selling positive noise.
September 6, 2006 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…equity hedge funds generate alpha by stock picking, not market timing.