Information-Based Trading
February 24, 2005 - Technical Trading
…the higher the probability that trading in a stock is informed, the greater the size and persistence of stock price movement.
February 24, 2005 - Technical Trading
…the higher the probability that trading in a stock is informed, the greater the size and persistence of stock price movement.
February 14, 2005 - Short Selling
…short selling shocks move stock prices ipso facto. They are news in and of themselves. In the absence of contrary information or reactive strategies, investors should avoid short-shocked stocks.
February 13, 2005 - Calendar Effects
…this research suggests that investors should be inclined to sell speculative U.S. stocks in late spring and buy them in the fall.
February 6, 2005 - Animal Spirits
…reasonably isolated attention-grabbing events are opportunities for profitable day trading.
February 4, 2005 - Big Ideas, Individual Investing
In his June 2004 paper on “What Are Stock Investors’ Actual Historical Returns”, Ilia Dichev examines stock market capital inflows and outflows to determine how well investors really perform compared to buy-and-hold returns. He concludes that:
February 2, 2005 - Investing Expertise, Mutual/Hedge Funds
In the February 2005 issue of The Financial Review, Burton Malkiel offers “Reflections on the Efficient Market Hypothesis: 30 Years Later” as a pudding-based proof of his famous proposition. He pits the performance of professional investment managers against that of market indices and finds that:
February 1, 2005 - Big Ideas, Bonds, Currency Trading, Equity Premium
…21st-century investors should curb their exuberance.
January 11, 2005 - Short Selling
…short selling is more effective at buffering exuberance for individual stocks than for the overall market.
January 10, 2005 - Mutual/Hedge Funds
…mutual fund inflows naively chase past returns.
December 29, 2004 - Animal Spirits
…the media constitute a possibly destabilizing element, since they support the continuation and reinforcement of states of disequilibrium, or maybe even trigger them.