Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 1/4/21 through 1/8/21. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs.
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- Hope for Stocks Around Inauguration Day?
Best guess is the U.S. stock market will be relatively weak around the upcoming inauguration day. - Do High-dividend Stock ETFs Beat the Market?
Evidence from available data for high-dividend U.S. stock ETFs does not support belief that high-dividend stocks outperform the broad U.S. stock market. - Do Copper Prices Lead the Broad Equity Market?
Evidence from simple tests offers little support for belief that changes in copper price exploitably predict U.S. stock market returns at monthly and quarterly horizons, except possibly during an extreme stock market crash/rebound. - Federal Deficit and Stock Returns
Evidence from simple tests offers a little support for belief that very large/increasing federal deficits are good for stock returns the next fiscal year. - Crypto Transformation of Finance?
Recent history suggests that, as the regulatory environment becomes clear, traditional finance firms should integrate their services with crypto-assets to provide customers with simple front end access to the DeFi back end.
