Best Equity Risk Premium

What are the different ways of estimating the equity risk premium, and which one is best? In the March 2024 update of his paper entitled “Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications – The 2024 Edition”, Aswath Damodaran updates a comprehensive overview of equity risk premium estimation. He examines why different approaches to estimating the premium disagree and how to choose among them. Using data from multiple countries (but focusing on the U.S.) over long periods through the end of 2023, he concludes that: (more…)