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"Advice is the only commodity on the market where the supply always exceeds the demand."

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"...if one tortures a dataset long enough, it will confess to anything!"

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Foundational Books

Triumph of the Optimists - Dimson, Marsh, Staunton

Evidence-Based Technical Analysis - Aronson

The Black Swan - Taleb

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Site Hot Spots

Pages other than main site sections, in descending order of number of visitors...

1. Bob Brinker's Market Timing

2. Stock Picking Performance of Fast Money Experts

3. Investor Sentiment and Returns for Different Types of Stocks

4. Some Notes on Predictably Irrational

5. The ADP Employment Report and Stock Returns

6. Ken Fisher Chronicles

7. Martin Zweig's Four Percent Model Indicator

8. Equity Risk Premium Book Learning

9. The Cost of Hope?

10. Extracting Disaster from Index Option Prices

11. Jim Cramer Deconstructed

12. Room for More Gloom in Earnings?

13. The Profit from the Peak Portfolio

14. (Not) Paying for Performance

15. Exploiting Industry Momentum Via ETFs?

16. Update: Is ValueEngine's Stock Market Mispricing Summary Predictive?

17. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices Reliably Intertwined?

18. Testing the "Short Term Stock Selector" Designed by Robert Hesler

19. Monthly Returns During Presidential Election Years

20. Rough Tests of Simple Sector ETF Reversion Strategies

21. Update: Real Earnings Yield Model Scenarios

22. The Value of Financial Advisors?

23. Rough Test of a Simple Sector ETF Momentum Strategy

24. Update: Blogger Sentiment Analysis

25. An International Test of Common Stock Return Indicators

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